Tag Archives: wealth management

Market Mayhem

Posted October 28, 2015 by paragon. tags:Tags: , , , ,
wall street_opt

Written By Dave Young, President and Founder of Paragon Wealth Management

This article is from Paragon’s Third Quarter Newsletter.  If you are interested in receiving a free printed copy of Paragon’s Newsletter, please click here

It’s been a difficult three months. From July through September, investors worldwide faced a market with vicious volatility and the worst performance we have seen in four years. As a group, hedge funds posted their worst performances since 2008.

Prior to this, the benchmark S&P 500 had gone 44 months without suffering an official correction, which is defined as a decline of 10% from its high. That streak ended on Aug. 24 when the index was hit with an intraday plunge of 1,100 points.

It is interesting to note that while the S&P 500 index itself declined — 12.4% from its highs — just over half of the stocks that make up that index were actually down more than 20%. This disparity shows the actual breadth of the decline.

Most indexes and asset classes were down for the quarter. The large cap stocks of the S&P 500 were actually a bright spot — only losing -6.9%. The NASDAQ was down -7.3%, U.S. Small caps lost -11.9%.

The international EAFE index lost -9%, while the emerging market index declined -12.1%. The broad-based GSCI commodity index lost -18.5%. Australia was down -15%, Canada -20%, Singapore -19.5%, China -22.7%, and Brazil -33.6%.  Gold mining companies lost 25% and silver miners lost 28%.

Why The Drama?

Last quarter, we were wrapping up our annual Greek drama. This quarter, the worry shifted to China. China’s stock market languished for much of the decade, but with encouragement from government officials, the Shanghai Composite Index went up 152% from June 30, 2014, to its peak on June 12, 2015. It is amazing what impact government meddling can have.

It was a meteoric rise by any standard, with a buying frenzy fueled by margin debt. But the index quickly shed 32% of its value in less than one month, forcing the government to implement additional measures to stem the decline.

China is the world’s second largest economy, and its growth rate has been slowing. Although China officially announced that Q2 GDP expanded by 7.0% in Q2, few believe the official report.

The most immediate impact has been on the emerging market currencies, which are grappling with a China slowdown and a possible Fed rate hike.

In addition, China surprised markets by devaluating its currency on Aug. 11 by about 3%. China’s central bank billed the surprise announcement as a market-oriented reform and a one-time move. Almost everyone else viewed it as an attempt to shore up their sagging economy by increasing their exports.

The Federal Reserve is also being blamed for the sell-off. In late July and early August, markets seemed resigned to the idea the Fed was set to boost rates at its Sept. 17 meeting. When they didn’t raise rates, it led to a circular argument as to whether that was positive or negative for the markets — which ultimately led to more uncertainty.

In my opinion, Greece, China and the Fed were just excuses for a sell off. In reality, we were in the seventh year of a bull market that was overdue for a correction.

The U.S. economy is doing OK — but not great. More importantly, market internals have been deteriorating. Valuations have been hitting the upper end of fair value. Earnings growth has slowed. And the weakness in the energy sector and the stronger dollar have both provided headwinds for the market.

Paragon Portfolios

We ended last quarter’s newsletter by saying, “We cannot see into the future.  However, as of today, (June 30), we are conservatively positioned. Based on our indicators, it would make sense that the market may continue to move sideways or that we could see a 15% to 20% decline from these prices. Our expectation is that this may play out over the next three months.”

As a result of our defensive positioning, we were able to avoid most of the carnage.

Managed Income Portfolio, our conservative portfolio, generates returns three ways.

First, Managed Income captures yield whenever available from government and corporate bonds. With interest rates being held down by the FED, most bond investments haven’t made much sense for some time. The risk-to-reward ratio for bonds is upside down and will stay that way until interest rates reset higher.

Second, Managed Income generates returns from several less risky, equity income oriented asset classes. Those are high-yield bonds, utilities, real estate, convertible and preferred stocks, MLPs, closed-end funds and some equities. The current sell-off temporarily eliminated most of these options because the market was so weak. This will likely change when the equity markets start to recover.

Third, for a very limited portion of the portfolio, Managed Income generates returns from select equity positions. Those opportunities have not been available with the market in a downtrend.

Managed Income is down -3.4% year to date. The portfolio generated a compound annual return of 5.09% from its inception Oct. 1, 2001, through Sept. 30, 2015. Its total return for that period is 100.4%.

Top Flight Portfolio is our flagship growth-oriented portfolio. Considering the difficult quarter we have just been through, we are very pleased with its performance.

This portfolio is driven by two sets of models. The first group is made up of eight primary models, each of which is either on a buy or sell signal. These models measure price momentum, volume, advance decline ratios, sentiment and a host of other market indicators. These models took us to a 50% invested status about four months ago.

The second group of models provides a ranking system, which rates about 100 asset classes. These asset classes give us potential exposure to almost every investment category available. That rotation between asset classes also helped our performance.

Top Flight is only down -0.46% year to date. Its compound annual return is 11.45% from Jan. 1, 1998, through Sept. 30, 2015. Its Total Return for that period is 584.7% versus 174.7% for the S&P 500. (See our track record page for appropriate disclosures.)

Going Forward

The good news is there can be advantageous opportunities created by the sell-off. We will work to capitalize on them as they become available.

When the market stabilizes and the potential reward justifies the risk, we will re-enter our investment positions. We do not attempt to forecast; we only react to what the market is actually doing at the time. We will continue to follow our models.

Successful investing is about playing offense and defense — each at the right time — and keeping a long-term perspective. Patience is key.

We appreciate your confidence in us. Feel free to reach out to us if you have any questions or concerns.

Disclaimer Paragon Wealth Management is a provider of managed portfolios for individuals and institutions. Although the information included in this report has been obtained from sources Paragon believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute the judgment as of the dates indicated and are subject to change without notice. This report is for informational purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 

Six Time Recipient of Best of State

Posted May 8, 2015 by paragon. tags:Tags: , , , , ,
daveonstage2

For Immediate Release:

Paragon Wealth Management, a national leader in the investment and wealth management field is proud to have been awarded the 2015 Best of State Award for Investment Advisory Services.

This is the Sixth year that Paragon has been awarded this prestigious award, that recognizes their commitment to financial excellence and the community they provide for in Utah. Paragon also received the award in 2008, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014 and now 2015.

“This is has been an exciting year for us,” says David Young of Paragon Wealth Management. “It’s wonderful to be recognized for all of our hard work and dedication to our clients.”

The company has been focused on the best customer service in helping their clientele with 401K, asset and wealth management, as well as investment services.

The Dave Young received the Best of State Award for the Paragon Team at Best of State Gala at the Salt Palace Convention Center on May 8th in Salt Lake City.

Recognized as one of America’s 50 fastest-growing RIA Firms, Paragon follows the high standards of fiduciary responsibility. With over 28 years of experience within the investment and wealth management field and now 6 Best of State awards, Paragon is being recognized as Utah’s premier advisory firm.

To find out more about Paragon Wealth Management: “Like” them on Facebook or please visit

Home

Media Contact:
David Kyle
for Paragon Wealth Management
801-375-2500

About Paragon Wealth Management:

Paragon Wealth Management is registered investment advisor (RIA) located in Provo, Utah. Established in 1986 by Dave Young, the company gives investors a smarter way to invest their money, develop sound investment strategies and achieve financial goals. Paragon was created to provide a more active and personalized alternative to the traditional buy, hold and hope approach to wealth management. Today, after over 26 years of refining proprietary quantitative financial models and building a trusted world-class organization, Paragon offers its clients across the U.S. a unique blend of proactive and proven money management techniques, extraordinary personalized service and a proven track record.

Judging criteria for the Best of State Award Reference: http://www.bestofstate.org

There are three basic judging criteria used by the judges, and each has a different weight.

The Best of State judging process involves a 100-point system. The 100 points are allotted in the three following areas:

50 points are possible regarding the overall excellence, superiority and quality of a nominee’s products, services or performance.

30 points are possible regarding the creativity which nominees display to differentiate themselves from their competition.

20 points are possible regarding the nominee’s accomplishments to improve the quality of life in their community and state, and their efforts to make the world a better place.

Disclosure: Paragon Wealth Management is a provider of managed portfolios for individuals and institutions. Although the information included in this report has been obtained from sources Paragon believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute the judgment as of the dates indicated and are subject to change without notice. This report is for informational purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

2015 Best of State Gala

Posted May 8, 2015 by paragon. tags:Tags: , , , ,
daveonstage2

On Saturday, May 9th the Paragon team attended the Best of State Awards Gala to recieve their 6th Best Of State Medal. Paragon received the Best of State Award for “Investment Advisory Services.” Utah’s Best of State presented awards in 10 main categories. Paragon Wealth Management was recognized in the Business Services category.

According to Best of State Chief Executive Officer Dana Layton, winners of the Best of State Awards have been rated and judged on their impact on the community, excellence and achievement, and innovation and originality.

An independent judging process, featuring judges with category specific credentials, has resulted in a confidential tabulation of results by the Gilbert & Steward accounting firm.

Click here for details about Best of State Criteria and Process.

Awarded Best of State 2014

Posted April 9, 2014 by paragon. tags:Tags: , , ,
Best of State Banner

For Immediate Release:

Paragon Wealth Management Awarded Best of State 2014 for Investment Advisory Services.

Paragon Wealth Management, a national leader in the investment and wealth management field is proud to have been awarded the 2014 Best of State Award for investment advisory services.

This is the Fifth  year that Paragon has been awarded this prestigious award, that recognizes their commitment to financial excellence and the community they provide for in Utah. Paragon also received the award in 2008, 2011, 2012, 2013 and now 2014.

“We are excited to once again win Best of State,” says David Young of Paragon Wealth Management. “We never get too comfortable being the best, we are just always working hard to provide the best service for our clients.”

The company has been focused on the best customer service in helping their clientele with 401K, asset and wealth management, as well as investment services.

Proud representatives of the wealth management company will be attending the Best of State Awards Gala on June 4th in Salt Lake City.

As one of America’s 50 fastest-growing RIA Firms, Paragon follows the high standards of fiduciary responsibility. With over 28 years of experience within the investment and wealth management field and now 5 Best of State awards, Paragon is being recognized as Utah’s premier advisory firm.

To find out more about Paragon Wealth Management: “Like” them on Facebook or please visit

Home

Media Contact:
David Kyle
for Paragon Wealth Management
801-375-2500

About Paragon Wealth Management:

Paragon Wealth Management is registered investment advisor (RIA) located in Provo, Utah. Established in 1986 by Dave Young, the company gives investors a smarter way to invest their money, develop sound investment strategies and achieve financial goals. Paragon was created to provide a more active and personalized alternative to the traditional buy, hold and hope approach to wealth management. Today, after over 26 years of refining proprietary quantitative financial models and building a trusted world-class organization, Paragon offers its clients across the U.S. a unique blend of proactive and proven money management techniques, extraordinary personalized service and a proven track record.

Judging criteria for the Best of State Award Reference: http://www.bestofstate.org

There are three basic judging criteria used by the judges, and each has a different weight.

The Best of State judging process involves a 100-point system. The 100 points are allotted in the three following areas:

50 points are possible regarding the overall excellence, superiority and quality of a nominee’s products, services or performance.

30 points are possible regarding the creativity which nominees display to differentiate themselves from their competition.

20 points are possible regarding the nominee’s accomplishments to improve the quality of life in their community and state, and their efforts to make the world a better place.

Disclosure: Paragon Wealth Management is a provider of managed portfolios for individuals and institutions. Although the information included in this report has been obtained from sources Paragon believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute the judgment as of the dates indicated and are subject to change without notice. This report is for informational purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

 

Happy 25th Anniversary!

Posted December 16, 2011 by admin. tags:Tags: , , ,

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Provo, Utah (Dec. 16, 2011) – Paragon Wealth Management, originally called The Center for Financial Excellence, celebrated 25 years of business this month.

Dave Young, president and founder of Paragon Wealth Management, started The Center for Financial Excellence in 1986 to give investors an opportunity to do more with their money.

“I originally started Paragon to manage money,” said Young. “I sold over a dozen businesses I owned, and wanted to invest the proceeds, but wasn’t able to find an investment advisor who met my needs. I spent the next year researching different investment methods and then started The Center for Financial Excellence.”

The company was registered with the SEC in 1993, and the name was changed to Paragon Capital Management. It was changed to Paragon Wealth Management several years later.

“This is a difficult industry to be in,” said Young. “We are happy to be a successful business this long.”

Paragon’s team celebrated their anniversary this month at their office in Provo, Utah with a cake, balloons and happy employees. Visit Paragon’s YouTube Channel to watch a video of the celebration.

Paragon is known for its growth portfolio called Top Flight. It has generated a total return of 378.74 percent versus 64.76 percent for the S&P 500 from its inception on January 1, 1998 through October 31, 2011. Its compound annual return is 12.06 percent versus 3.7 percent for the S&P 500. (Visit paragonwealth.com to see complete track record and full disclosures).

About Paragon Wealth Management
Paragon Wealth Management is a registered investment advisor (RIA) in Utah that actively manages all types of traditional and retirement accounts such as IRA and 401(K) rollovers, and pensions and trusts. Paragon has received numerous awards such as the Best of State award in Investment Advisory Services in 2011, and the NABCAP Premier Advisor award in 2010. Paragon has also been recognized on several lists such as WealthManagerWeb’s Top Wealth Manager’s list in the U.S. in 2010 and others. Call 800-748-4451 or visit paragonwealth.com for more information.

Paragon cannot guarantee the accuracy of information from other sources. Opinions are as of the dates indicated only. This report is not a solicitation for any security. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Do not rely upon this information to predict future investment performance or market conditions. This information is not a substitute for consultation with a competent financial, legal, or tax advisor and should only be used in conjunction with his/her advice.

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Are we in a Recession?

Posted December 8, 2011 by admin. tags:Tags: , ,

 

Some people say we are currently in a recession. Others say we aren't… 

Watch this short video to learn Paragon's wealth managers thoughts on being in a recession. 

What do you think? We'd like to hear your feedback. 

This video was filmed on Nov. 30, 2011.

Disclaimer
Paragon Wealth Management is a provider of managed portfolios for individuals and institutions. Although the information included in this report has been obtained from sources Paragon believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute the judgment as of the dates indicated and are subject to change without notice. This report is for informational purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

Active vs. Passive Money Management

Posted November 3, 2011 by admin. tags:Tags: , , , ,

Watch this short video to listen to Dave Young and Nathan White discuses active vs. passive money management.

In this video you will learn:

-the difference between active vs. passive money management.
-which strategy is doing better right now and which has done better in the past.
-which strategy does better in volatile markets.
-the disadvantages and advantages to each strategy.

Disclaimer
Paragon Wealth Management is a provider of managed portfolios for individuals and institutions. Although the information included in this report has been obtained from sources Paragon believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute the judgment as of the dates indicated and are subject to change without notice. This report is for informational purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

 

Put Your Money Where Your Mouth is?

Posted June 30, 2011 by admin. tags:Tags: , , ,
American and Foreign Money


photo by epsos

Written by Dave Young, President of Paragon Wealth Management

I have never understood why many financial advisors sell products to their clients and don’t personally invest in them.

If they are good for their clients, they should be good for themselves, right?

This creates a situation where once the financial advisor receives their commission they often become disinterested spectators. They have no “skin in the game”, so to speak.

I believe that advisors who sell investments they do not personally own often do not fully understand the investments they are selling.

An advisor who is invested in what he is selling is much more interested and emotionally involved because they experience exactly what their clients experience. They feel the same stress that their clients feel when the markets go down and the same satisfaction when the investment goes up. It’s a lot easier to empathize with clients when you really understand what they are experiencing.

The same is true of the mutual funds. If a mutual fund is as good as advertised, then certainly the manager would want to own it, so that he can benefit along with everyone who buys it. In 2005 the SEC started requiring mutual fund managers to disclose how much money they have invested in the funds they manage.

Shockingly, recent studies show that only about 40 percent of managers invest in their own funds.

According to a recent study by Morningstar, on average, the more money a fund manager invests in their fund, the better the fund does. Interestingly, those mutual funds in which the manager invests their own money are ranked higher in the Morningstar rankings and have been in existence, more than twice as long as those who don’t.

I founded Paragon Wealth Management for the purpose of managing my own money 25 years ago. Twenty-five years later, I still have most of my stock market investments invested in Paragon’s portfolios, Managed Income and Top Flight. In addition, all of our eligible employees invest in Paragon’s portfolios through our 401(k).

We continue to be invested right alongside of our clients. Our motto is “Do as I do” versus “Do as I say.” It really makes a difference. 

Disclaimer
Paragon Wealth Management is a provider of managed portfolios for individuals and institutions. Although the information included in this report has been obtained from sources Paragon believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute the judgment as of the dates indicated and are subject to change without notice. This report is for informational purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

Paragon Received 2011 Best of State Medal

Posted June 9, 2011 by admin. tags:Tags: , ,
Winning Best of State 2011


Luke Tait, Patrick & Shannon Golladay, Cathy & Dave Young, Nathan White and Trudy & Dennis Meister

Paragon News:

Paragon Wealth Management was awarded a medal at the 2011 Best of State Awards in Salt Lake City on June 4.

Utah’s Best of State presented awards in 10 main categories. Paragon Wealth Management was recognized in the Business Services category. They won the Best of State Medal for investment advisory services.

According to Best of State’s chief executive officer Dana Layton, winners of the 2011 Best of State Awards were rated and judged on their impact in the community, excellence and achievement, and innovation and originality. This year’s judging was hosted by Salt Lake Community College’s Miller Business Resource Center and took place over a period of four full days. An independent judging process, featuring judges with category-specific credentials, has resulted in a confidential tabulation of results by the Gilbert & Steward accounting firm.

Paragon has focused on perfecting their investment strategies for almost 25 years. Dave Young started what is now called Paragon Wealth Management in 1986 when he sold his 12 franchise businesses and wanted to do more with his money. He spent the next year researching investment methods, and later started The Center for Financial Excellence. The name was changed to Paragon Capital Management and was registered with the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) in 1993. It has since been changed to Paragon Wealth Management.

Disclaimer
Paragon Wealth Management is a provider of managed portfolios for individuals and institutions. Although the information included in this report has been obtained from sources Paragon believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute the judgment as of the dates indicated and are subject to change without notice. This report is for informational purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

Money Management and Baseball

Posted March 10, 2011 by admin. tags:Tags: , , , ,
Money and Baseball


photo by laffy4k

Written by Dave Young, President of Paragon Wealth Management

Imagine yourself as a baseball player.

First, your team gets a base hit, next you get a double. Then, another base hit. This is followed by a triple, and then you strike out. Then, you strike out twice in a row! Just about the time you are ready to abandon your team, they hit two home runs.

The moral of the story is you never know how the game is going to turn out unless you stay for the whole game. 

Asset management is similar to baseball because they both take patience and a sound long-term strategy to be successful.

At Paragon Wealth Management we have asset management services for our clients who have $200K to $1M to invest, and wealth management services for investors who have over $1M to invest. When investors see the returns our growth portfolio, Top Flight, has generated over the past 13 years, they get excited about them. Then, when the market goes through a downturn, and Top Flight goes through a mild downturn, they start questioning their investment strategies.

Paragon’s Top Flight Portfolio has generated a total return of 421.46 percent versus 72.19 percent for the S&P 500 from January 1998 through February 2011. (see www.paragonwealth.com for full track record and disclosures.)

It is important to understand the ups and downs that investors went through in order to capture those returns investors have seen since Top Flight’s inception in 1998.

Its also important to understand that investors who did not keep a long-term perspective and bailed out of their portfolios along the way, never saw those returns.

It is only those investors who had the discipline to keep a long-term perspective who got the long-term returns.

For example, in four of the past 13 years, which is about 31 percent of the time, Top Flight underperformed the S&P 500. In two of those years, Top Flight declined and investors lost money.

The investors who focused on the short-term during those times, bailed out of their portfolios. They were shaken out of their long-term investment strategy and ultimately hurt themselves by selling out of their portfolio.

In an ideal world Top Flight would always outperform and would travel a straight line of positive returns year after year. 

Unfortunately, we do not live in a perfect world. Reality is more like two steps forward and then one step back over and over…

With Top Flight we never know in advance when we are going to under perform the market or when we are going to “hit a home run.” Although there are no guarantees, we do believe that if we keep stepping up to the plate and executing our investment strategy that we are going to outperform more than we underperform. Over time we believe that disciplined execution of our investment strategy will deliver outsize results.

However, that means we have to keep stepping up to the plate, and we have to consistently follow our investment strategy.

That is how Top Flight has generated returns almost six times more than the broad market as measured by the S&P 500 over the past 13 years.

If investors want those long-term returns, then they must “stay for the whole game”. 

Paragon Wealth Management is a provider of managed portfolios for individuals and institutions.  Although the information included in this report has been obtained from sources Paragon believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy.  All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute the judgment as of the dates indicated and are subject to change without notice.  This report is for informational purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security.  Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

 

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